Tuesday, May 09, 2006

Watch the line for Dallas at San Antonio Total now at 181.5 at Over -112 from Pinny. I see few books have already moved to 182. The opening line was 179.5 at Pinny and 180 at BetCris, the two books with pretty sharp opening line.
If your thinking just 90'ish scoring to take the Over money beware.
The smooth running Mavs hit a brick wall with Spurs that was supposed to be worn out. Though Mavs lead most of the way, covering ATS across the board, when push came to shove the game turned defensive and Spurs pulled out the win.
The playoff games maybe about zig zag theory, but I don't see these two teams tinkering too much with offense.

The Under trend is very strong.
Under is 7-1-0 in Mavericks last 8 games following a ATS win.
Under is 4-1-0 in Mavericks last 5 playoff road games.
Under is 6-2-0 in Mavericks last 8 vs. NBA Southwest.
Under is 8-3-0 in Mavericks last 11 games as a road underdog of 0.5-4.5.
Under is 5-2-0 in Mavericks last 7 playoff games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5.
Under is 5-2-0 in Mavericks last 7 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Under is 5-2-0 in Mavericks last 7 playoff games as an underdog.
Under is 14-6-0 in Mavericks last 20 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5.
Under is 4-0-0 in Spurs last 4 games as a home favorite of 0.5-4.5.
Under is 5-0-0 in Spurs last 5 playoff games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5.
Under is 4-0-0 in Spurs last 4 games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5.
Under is 6-1-0 in Spurs last 7 vs. NBA Southwest.
Under is 5-1-0 in Spurs last 6 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Under is 4-1-0 in Spurs last 5 playoff games as a favorite.
Under is 4-1-0 in Spurs last 5 games as a favorite.
Under is 4-1-0 in Spurs last 5 overall.
Under is 4-1-0 in Spurs last 5 vs. Western Conference.
Under is 4-1-0 in the last 5 meetings in San Antonio.
Under is 5-2-0 in the last 7 meetings.

Since the line is moving towards my favor I will wait.

Almost 10:00 PST and I might have missed a good spot about 30 minutes ago.
Bought 1 point

DAL/SAS UNDER 183 at -123 for 1 unit(L)

Spurs have no energy. I guess the Kings series is now catching up with them.
But the series money is looking interesting.
1-0 -1.23 units
--------------------------------------------------------------
Keep track of the money on the table. What I'm looking for is the money in the middle. Added another unit.

DAL Series +191 for 1 unit
Wager Balance(151 x 2) + (191 x 1)
Average unit wager +164.3

3 comments:

Batis84 said...

Don't cycle around Underrrr
All your Under trend inclines me on Over.

Good luck Clutch!

Clutch said...

That's because your were right today. LOL
Very very OVER...1st qt, 1st Half, 2nd Half and Game.
Also was 70%+ public play.
I even watched the 2nd half number climb, very rare for 2nd half total to move at any book, so many happy people tonight. Except me...
Don't feel bad for me I made up in MLB.

Batis84 said...

>That's because your were right today. LOL

haha.. I won't say anything against your opinion next time.
Good MLB capping day though!
I'm posting my picks on forum.