Saturday, March 03, 2007

NBA Saturday

Taking a shot at the day game with Boston at New Jersey.
Nets are starting to win games in high scoring fashion, 3 in a row at home with 5 straight games scoring over 100+ points, they've also allowed over 100+ in 3 of those games. Needless to say the Over has cashed 5 out of their last 6. Boston is not built that way they managed to break triple digits against NYK 2/28, PHO 2/21, SAC 2/20, MIL 2/14, MIN 2/11 out of their last 10 games, but that's 50% you'd say? yes dictated by the tempo and I don't think that's the way these two teams match up. Nets have Kidd and Carter playing guards driving into the paint they either score or go to the line I see that Boston surely sees it too. Celtics success is more on Pierce and Jefferson that's guard and forward I see more balance to back and front court.
Unless the outside shooting is red hot I don't see both teams going over the century mark and this game to sink Under

NJN/BOS UNDER 199 at -103 for 2 units(W)

Not even OT can get this game to go Over!
1-0 +2.00 units
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I have a interesting angle on 9:00 eastern game. It's Orlando Magic at Dallas Mavericks.
Many of you may read my opening and instantly see the pick as Under 189. Well, Magic is 24-36 favoring Under and Mavs are 25-32 favoring Under, but what I see is Magic licking their wound unable to score in San Antonio with only 65 attempts making 28 and getting out boarded 35-43, that is a motivator especially against the top team like the Mavs. Dallas went 95-92 win against the Cavs at home, but much too close than what Mavs are able to do. They did not finish well giving Lebron 2 looks at 3 point try. That's not what a champion team does and Dallas will come in with killer instinct in mind or scoring instinct in mind. All this to me adds up to score going Over the fairly low number.

ORL/DAL OVER 189 at -102 for 2 units(W)

2nd half pushes the number Over!
1-0 +2.00 units

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